The Cyclic Behaviour of UK Acquisition Activity and the Influence of Macro - economic Factors
نویسنده
چکیده
This paper examines numbers of acquisitions for the UK and demonstrates that actual values are predictable and the time-series properties for the series can also be established. A link between economic conditions and acquisition levels seems likely and such models can be easily produced. The economic factors and the time-series properties are then combined in an ARMAX model producing better results and demonstrating that takeovers are prompted both by economic conditions and the influence of recent acquisition behaviour. Changes in takeover numbers, however, are highly volatile and cannot be easily predicted.
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